Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (17 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 954 | 51% | 2025-10-31 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1055 | 57% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1102 | 43% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1066 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 920 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1065 | 1010 | 58% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
| 1153 | 973 | 74% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 970 | 1154 | 26% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1035 | 55% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1059 | 1217 | 29% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
| 1167 | 824 | 88% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
| 1047 | 892 | 71% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 1340 | 1037 | 85% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1077.8 vs 1039.1 has a 55.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).