Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (16 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1055 | 62% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1143 | 38% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1065 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 917 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1079 | 1015 | 59% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
| 1141 | 994 | 70% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1089 | 49% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 842 | 90% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
| 995 | 890 | 65% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 1336 | 1026 | 86% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1077.2 vs 1056.9 has a 52.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).