The Commissar's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1201 | 975 | 79% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1019 | 55% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1309 | 39% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 900 | 1028 | 32% | 2020-08-09 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1028 | 68% | 2020-08-09 | Lost |
| 924 | 983 | 42% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 942 | 891 | 57% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 1029 | 984 | 56% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1032 | 1029 | 50% | 2016-09-08 | Lost |
| 1050 | 891 | 71% | 2016-07-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1110 | 36% | 2016-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1022.5 has a 53.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).