Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (29 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 63
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 905 | 57% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1192 | 38% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 985 | 946 | 56% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 986 | 1084 | 36% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1124 | 43% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 923 | 873 | 57% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
| 1151 | 1021 | 68% | 2019-10-06 | Won |
| 1106 | 1106 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 888 | 1047 | 29% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1053 | 56% | 2018-10-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 982 | 50% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1021 | 68% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 990 | 994 | 49% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 923 | 1017 | 37% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1126 | 989 | 69% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1214 | 968 | 80% | 2017-01-16 | Won |
| 1400 | 1058 | 88% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1247 | 1259 | 48% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1259 | 1012 | 81% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1025 | 46% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1069 | 37% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1130 | 40% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1151 | 1250 | 36% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 889 | 1105 | 22% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1075.5 vs 1052.2 has a 53.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).