Outgunned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 932 | 52% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 945 | 946 | 50% | 2021-11-06 | Tied |
| 1214 | 996 | 78% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1081 | 52% | 2018-08-02 | Won |
| 1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2016-11-20 | Lost |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2016-11-17 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2016-04-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1088.6 vs 1074.3 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).