Outgunned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2021-11-06 | | Tied |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-06-14 | | Won |
| 965 | 1133 | 28% | 2019-11-10 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2018-08-02 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2017-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-11-20 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2016-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-04-22 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1091.9 has a 47.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).