Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1152 | 33% | 2025-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2024-12-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1284 | 16% | 2022-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-03-06 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-10-09 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2020-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 952 | 75% | 2019-06-23 | | Won |
| 1146 | 952 | 75% | 2019-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2018-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 932 | 60% | 2017-05-06 | | Won |
| 970 | 1152 | 26% | 2016-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2016-06-23 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2014-03-06 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1043.2 vs 1068.8 has a 46.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).