Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 893 | 77% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1282 | 1252 | 54% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1080 | 47% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 971 | 1009 | 45% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1030 | 1220 | 25% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1006 | 70% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1150 | 1006 | 70% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 993 | 1215 | 22% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1181 | 932 | 81% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 960 | 1202 | 20% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 1004 | 45% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1080.3 has a 49.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).