Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1153 | 37% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1075 | 920 | 71% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1186 | 1270 | 38% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1039 | 45% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 1221 | 25% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1178 | 949 | 79% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1178 | 949 | 79% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 1216 | 23% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1180 | 932 | 81% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 961 | 1153 | 25% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 1008 | 44% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1143 | 1132 | 52% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1077.9 vs 1073.5 has a 50.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).