Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1125 | 37% | 2025-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2024-12-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1217 | 22% | 2022-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-03-06 | | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-10-09 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2020-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2019-06-23 | | Won |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2019-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1222 | 22% | 2018-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 932 | 60% | 2017-05-06 | | Won |
| 970 | 1125 | 29% | 2016-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2016-06-23 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-03-06 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1065.7 has a 46.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).