The Spearhead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1066 | 69% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 749 | 1252 | 5% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 954 | 1220 | 18% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1150 | 30% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1215 | 37% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 974 | 53% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1025 vs 1105.8 has a 38.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).