The Spearhead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1029 | 57% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 739 | 1220 | 6% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 918 | 1216 | 15% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1216 | 37% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1041 | 64% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 956 | 997 | 44% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1002.3 vs 1096.1 has a 36.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).