At Sword Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (6 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 6
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 1066 | 71% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 864 | 998 | 32% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 1128 | 34% | 2018-08-07 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1128 | 34% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.7 vs 1055.8 has a 44.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).