Real Steel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (13 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 914 | 995 | 39% | 2024-07-05 | Won |
| 1260 | 1413 | 29% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1202 | 31% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 935 | 932 | 50% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 914 | 1011 | 36% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1223 | 927 | 85% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 863 | 998 | 31% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2017-11-24 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1006 | 70% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
| 1215 | 1118 | 64% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 1413 | 14% | 2016-06-06 | Tied |
| 1106 | 1040 | 59% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1094.2 has a 45.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).