Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (37 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Polish): 50
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 729 | 978 | 19% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 997 | 1038 | 44% | 2025-05-11 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2024-05-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 947 | 58% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 912 | 1154 | 20% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1033 | 53% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 970 | 951 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 951 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1023 | 42% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1044 | 52% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
| 1062 | 1100 | 45% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 999 | 1242 | 20% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1200 | 30% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1219 | 21% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 950 | 864 | 62% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 988 | 997 | 49% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1152 | 990 | 72% | 2019-10-07 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 878 | 70% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1127 | 70% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1104 | 1074 | 54% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
| 1052 | 961 | 63% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 902 | 1025 | 33% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
| 1030 | 1028 | 50% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 947 | 997 | 43% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1101 | 1057 | 56% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
| 1017 | 950 | 60% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1034.6 has a 48.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).