Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (37 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Polish): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 756 | 986 | 21% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 993 | 1019 | 46% | 2025-05-11 | Lost |
| 967 | 985 | 47% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1079 | 1062 | 52% | 2024-05-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 991 | 51% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 892 | 1200 | 15% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1016 | 55% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 970 | 950 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 950 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1004 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1123 | 36% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 1144 | 29% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 975 | 1018 | 44% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 1084 | 47% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 989 | 1179 | 25% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1201 | 30% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1217 | 22% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 879 | 864 | 52% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 980 | 51% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 989 | 70% | 2019-10-07 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
| 1049 | 878 | 73% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1127 | 66% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1116 | 1079 | 55% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
| 1045 | 931 | 66% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1139 | 972 | 72% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 902 | 972 | 40% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1045 | 48% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 991 | 980 | 52% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1143 | 1059 | 62% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
| 1103 | 879 | 78% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | | Won |
| 1029 | 1018 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1033.9 vs 1029.4 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).