Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (26 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 57
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 964 | 49% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1050 | 49% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 928 | 938 | 49% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 938 | 1223 | 16% | 2019-08-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1063 | 48% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 1063 | 53% | 2018-12-20 | Tied |
| 1066 | 841 | 79% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 987 | 958 | 54% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1062 | 80% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 947 | 1061 | 34% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1216 | 923 | 84% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-12-29 | Won |
| 1223 | 1133 | 63% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1004 | 68% | 2016-09-19 | Won |
| 1223 | 1098 | 67% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 1219 | 17% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1195 | 877 | 86% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1156 | 42% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2016-06-03 | Won |
| 1023 | 1034 | 48% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
| 1079 | 885 | 75% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1010 | 57% | 2016-04-28 | Lost |
| 895 | 966 | 40% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1158 | 34% | 2014-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1034.1 has a 55.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).