Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (13 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1196 | 23% | 2024-06-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1011 | 78% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1032 | 1097 | 41% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1124 | 43% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 882 | 867 | 52% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1044 | 82% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 1126 | 979 | 70% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 1023 | 44% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1051 | 46% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 876 | 954 | 39% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1021.7 has a 52.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).