Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1204 | 28% | 2024-06-27 | Lost |
| 964 | 957 | 51% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1242 | 978 | 82% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1028 | 1108 | 39% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 938 | 905 | 55% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 937 | 866 | 60% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
| 1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1062 | 81% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
| 1208 | 970 | 80% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 1088 | 35% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1052 | 55% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 874 | 993 | 34% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.1 vs 1015.9 has a 55.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).