Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (17 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 1068 | 74% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 937 | 866 | 60% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 959 | 869 | 63% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 959 | 869 | 63% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 960 | 890 | 60% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1108 | 1015 | 63% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1181 | 979 | 76% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 898 | 896 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 1113 | 48% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 879 | 82% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1215 | 1209 | 51% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1015 | 1144 | 32% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1163 | 43% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 985.4 has a 61.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).