Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1048 | 62% | 2022-01-23 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-07-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2019-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2019-05-04 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2019-01-20 | | Won |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2017-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2017-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2016-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2016-09-01 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 898 | 64% | 2016-08-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2016-05-28 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1150 | 43% | 2016-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2016-04-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2016-04-09 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1220 | 49% | 2016-01-22 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2015-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1151 | 41% | | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1015.8 has a 57.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).