Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (20 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (Finnish): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 1196 | 53% | 2026-04-28 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1126 | 49% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1126 | 48% | 2025-07-08 | Won |
| 1051 | 1111 | 41% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1076 | 780 | 85% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 1070 | 1051 | 53% | 2024-03-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 940 | 873 | 60% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 985 | 1201 | 22% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 866 | 928 | 41% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1112 | 56% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1087 | 48% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1094 | 43% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1141 | 39% | 2016-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 1080.2 has a 45.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).