Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (19 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (Finnish): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1090 | 54% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 731 | 1140 | 9% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1090 | 51% | 2025-07-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1095 | 39% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1204 | 780 | 92% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 1068 | 49% | 2024-03-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 941 | 873 | 60% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1059 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 986 | 1201 | 22% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 998 | 1083 | 38% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 866 | 927 | 41% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
| 1184 | 936 | 81% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1058 | 52% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1031 | 50% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1140 | 41% | 2016-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1050.3 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).