Aiding the Local Constabulary (3 player)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (21 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 17
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian / South African ): 0
Defender wins (Italian (Mutineers)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1416 | 1096 | 86% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1139 | 39% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 949 | 1029 | 39% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1293 | 1256 | 55% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1256 | 43% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1243 | 26% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 972 | 1006 | 45% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 990 | 1029 | 44% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 1056 | 953 | 64% | 2019-10-19 | Won |
| 974 | 1028 | 42% | 2019-09-28 | Won |
| 1256 | 986 | 83% | 2019-07-20 | Won |
| 1102 | 1025 | 61% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 949 | 994 | 44% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 985 | 1333 | 12% | 2018-11-10 | Tied |
| 1082 | 1027 | 58% | 2017-09-09 | Tied |
| 1163 | 1226 | 41% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1065 | 993 | 60% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1226 | 1150 | 61% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1126 | 1126 | 50% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1101.1 vs 1101.4 has a 49.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).