African Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 18
Defender wins (British): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1016 | 41% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1124 | 1124 | 50% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 879 | 955 | 39% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1016 | 73% | 2017-09-10 | Won |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1124 | 1214 | 37% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1056 | 986 | 60% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1075.3 vs 1060.4 has a 52.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).