African Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 18
Defender wins (British): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1004 | 41% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1130 | 1202 | 40% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 845 | 998 | 29% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2017-09-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1202 | 1220 | 47% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1073.2 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).