African Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 18
Defender wins (British): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 958 | 49% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 1126 | 1208 | 38% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 841 | 993 | 29% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1142 | 54% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1195 | 958 | 80% | 2017-09-10 | Won |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1208 | 1219 | 48% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1091.3 vs 1056.6 has a 54.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).