Riding to the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (29 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (British): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2026-06-13 | | Won |
| 692 | 1092 | 9% | 2025-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1194 | 1119 | 61% | 2025-07-12 | | Won |
| 930 | 1194 | 18% | 2025-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2025-01-21 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1008 | 37% | 2024-05-10 | D | Lost |
| 994 | 1077 | 38% | 2024-01-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-01-22 | | Lost |
| 891 | 880 | 52% | 2021-11-25 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1196 | 32% | 2019-01-26 | | Won |
| 979 | 1143 | 28% | 2018-04-29 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2018-04-03 | | Won |
| 1060 | 992 | 60% | 2017-11-03 | | Won |
| 984 | 1014 | 46% | 2017-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 920 | 61% | 2017-09-14 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-04-09 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1084 | 33% | 2017-03-04 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1084 | 33% | 2017-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2017-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2016-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2016-07-23 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2016-06-06 | | Won |
| 1007 | 913 | 63% | 2016-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 891 | 80% | 2016-03-28 | | Won |
| 985 | 1344 | 11% | 2016-01-23 | | Won |
| 986 | 1108 | 33% | 2015-11-20 | | Lost |
| 990 | 981 | 51% | 2015-11-10 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 999.9 vs 1072.3 has a 39.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).