Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (14 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German (SS)): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1133 | 37% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 966 | 971 | 49% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1054 | 57% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1027 | 44% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 986 | 55% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1101 | 896 | 76% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 862 | 1060 | 24% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 891 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1315 | 1313 | 50% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 892 | 1086 | 25% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1072.9 has a 45.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).