Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1028 | 50% | 2025-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1141 | 60% | 2025-08-09 | A | Won |
| 953 | 1019 | 41% | 2025-08-08 | A | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-02-17 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2024-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2023-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1025 | 55% | 2023-04-18 | | Lost |
| 982 | 963 | 53% | 2022-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1079 | 62% | 2022-08-06 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2022-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1028 | 67% | 2019-04-20 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1149 | 31% | 2019-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1108 | 68% | 2018-08-05 | | Won |
| 1140 | 981 | 71% | 2017-10-28 | | Won |
| 862 | 1147 | 16% | 2017-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2016-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2016-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2016-02-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1078.8 has a 45.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).