Dare-Death and the Iron Division
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (9 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (Chinese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1108 | 29% | 2025-11-13 | Won |
| 1068 | 1041 | 54% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1087 | 54% | 2023-08-23 | Lost |
| 933 | 1032 | 36% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1225 | 979 | 80% | 2017-02-01 | Won |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 1065 | 1038 | 54% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1055 | 993 | 59% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1053.2 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).