Dare-Death and the Iron Division
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Japanese): 6
Defender wins (Chinese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2025-11-13 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1061 | 42% | 2024-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2023-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2023-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2020-02-28 | | Won |
| 1011 | 986 | 54% | 2019-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-09-10 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1038 | 49% | 2015-11-29 | | Won |
| 1056 | 987 | 60% | 2015-10-10 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1006.4 vs 1049.6 has a 43.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).