The Golden Arrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1111 | 38% | 2026-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 995 | 55% | 2026-07-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2024-06-15 | | Won |
| 1217 | 734 | 94% | 2020-08-03 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2019-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2019-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1017 | 54% | 2017-12-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 964 | 73% | 2017-11-05 | | Won |
| 980 | 1055 | 39% | 2017-10-06 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1075 | 38% | 2017-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2017-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2017-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 986 | 66% | 2017-05-19 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-04-25 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-12-05 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-01-05 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-01-05 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1000 has a 59.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).