The Golden Arrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1002 | 40% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1225 | 753 | 94% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1080 | 1064 | 52% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1219 | 25% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 980 | 1050 | 40% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 1213 | 16% | 2017-08-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1136 | 50% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1012 | 995 | 52% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1309 | 1062 | 81% | 2017-04-25 | Won |
| 1012 | 1032 | 47% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
| 1012 | 1032 | 47% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1046.8 has a 51.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).