The Golden Arrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1015 | 38% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1257 | 749 | 95% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1219 | 25% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 980 | 1089 | 35% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2017-08-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1154 | 47% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1011 | 51% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 1336 | 1062 | 83% | 2017-04-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 1032 | 48% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
| 1015 | 1032 | 48% | 2016-01-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1049.9 has a 52.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).