Nikolai's Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (4 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Hungarian/German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 1123 | 47% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 1153 | 25% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1149 | 43% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1089 vs 1129.3 has a 44.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).