Nikolai's Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (Hungarian/German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2025-11-06 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2025-10-15 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2025-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-05-05 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1136 | 27% | 2019-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1106 | 1132 | 46% | 2017-10-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 956 vs 1091.7 has a 31.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).