Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (19 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1047 | 48% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1074 | 1095 | 47% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 939 | 1069 | 32% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1059 | 1211 | 29% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1214 | 890 | 87% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1126 | 46% | 2018-12-02 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 911 | 897 | 52% | 2017-08-06 | Won |
| 954 | 918 | 55% | 2017-08-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1108 | 1259 | 30% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 897 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1152 | 53% | 2016-03-15 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1109 | 53% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 1090 | 1113 | 47% | 2015-11-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1023 | 55% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1061.7 vs 1050.4 has a 51.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).