Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (19 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 1133 | 44% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 986 | 55% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 971 | 929 | 56% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 975 | 964 | 52% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1025 | 1209 | 26% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1220 | 890 | 87% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1202 | 34% | 2018-12-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 920 | 898 | 53% | 2017-08-06 | Won |
| 938 | 918 | 53% | 2017-08-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1108 | 1264 | 29% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 898 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1170 | 51% | 2016-03-15 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1132 | 53% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 1086 | 1112 | 46% | 2015-11-05 | Won |
| 988 | 1099 | 35% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1053.9 has a 51.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).