Second City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (Hungarian / German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 943 | 56% | 2021-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1047 | 45% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1182 | 46% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1077 | 53% | 2020-08-26 | Won |
| 1176 | 1047 | 68% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 969 | 972 | 50% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 961 | 1141 | 26% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2016-02-15 | Lost |
| 961 | 930 | 54% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2016-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1202 | 53% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1187 | 43% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1184 | 891 | 84% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 959 | 64% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1141 | 37% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1061.8 has a 50.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).