The Katanas Come Out at Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1084 | 59% | 2026-06-17 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 948 | 1097 | 30% | 2023-08-09 | Tied |
| 1263 | 1228 | 55% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1097 | 879 | 78% | 2021-09-02 | Tied |
| 1083 | 970 | 66% | 2017-07-25 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-08-07 | Won |
| 986 | 1060 | 40% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 885 | 78% | 2016-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1045 has a 54.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).