The Katanas Come Out at Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1084 | 51% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 948 | 936 | 52% | 2023-08-09 | Tied |
| 936 | 879 | 58% | 2021-09-02 | Tied |
| 1123 | 962 | 72% | 2017-07-25 | Won |
| 999 | 1122 | 33% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-08-07 | Won |
| 1053 | 1059 | 49% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1014 | 882 | 68% | 2016-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1028.6 vs 1001.7 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).