Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (14 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2024-11-09 | Won |
| 1112 | 1202 | 37% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1252 | 1004 | 81% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 1245 | 1048 | 76% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 877 | 1004 | 32% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 956 | 1038 | 38% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1133 | 37% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1015 | 63% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1045.2 has a 53.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).