Anabasis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Finnish): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Finnish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 1124 | 50% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1079 | 46% | 2023-12-03 | Won |
| 1016 | 980 | 55% | 2023-09-18 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1020 | 70% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1259 | 952 | 85% | 2021-10-23 | Won |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1019 | 977 | 56% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 1275 | 994 | 83% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 881 | 1016 | 31% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 972 | 1038 | 41% | 2016-04-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1048 | 46% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 1024 | 61% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1022.3 has a 58.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).