Torment at Tormua
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (14 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (Finnish): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 946 | 76% | 2024-05-26 | Won |
| 948 | 1042 | 37% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 914 | 973 | 42% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1084 | 64% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1100 | 60% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 907 | 1109 | 24% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1135 | 879 | 81% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 978 | 1078 | 36% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1151 | 1196 | 44% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.8 vs 1060.5 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).