Torment at Tormua
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1059 | 38% | 2026-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-12-22 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 946 | 81% | 2024-05-26 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-07-10 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2022-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2022-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1092 | 58% | 2020-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1101 | 55% | 2020-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2019-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-05-27 | | Won |
| 1135 | 921 | 77% | 2018-05-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2017-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2017-03-05 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-05-14 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1030.1 has a 54.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).