Torment at Tormua
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (13 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (Finnish): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 933 | 72% | 2024-05-26 | Won |
| 945 | 957 | 48% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1051 | 993 | 58% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 916 | 957 | 44% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1090 | 68% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1096 | 64% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 1189 | 957 | 79% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 910 | 1106 | 24% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1013 | 54% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1136 | 998 | 69% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1194 | 44% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1034 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).