Armored Car Savikurki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (32 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 49
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1049 | 32% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1112 | 50% | 2024-09-21 | Won |
| 998 | 1153 | 29% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 989 | 978 | 52% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1117 | 1018 | 64% | 2023-11-22 | Won |
| 1137 | 933 | 76% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 933 | 1137 | 24% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1083 | 1111 | 46% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 805 | 70% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2019-12-04 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1030 | 48% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2019-03-06 | Won |
| 1044 | 1226 | 26% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2018-07-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 2018-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2018-03-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2018-01-10 | Lost |
| 875 | 1106 | 21% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
| 1070 | 998 | 60% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1333 | 29% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1022 | 48% | 2016-04-10 | Won |
| 1180 | 1107 | 60% | 2016-04-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1270 | 938 | 87% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | 2015-07-29 | Won |
| 1002 | 1200 | 24% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
| 1186 | 805 | 90% | 2015-04-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1055 | 46% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1270 | 1008 | 82% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1069.6 vs 1061.7 has a 51.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).