Arctic Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (18 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (Finnish): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1112 | 46% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 953 | 1012 | 42% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1117 | 46% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 953 | 993 | 44% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 953 | 49% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1074 | 1166 | 37% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 953 | 58% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1242 | 1254 | 48% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 1206 | 953 | 81% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1203 | 33% | 2018-04-01 | Won |
| 1093 | 1123 | 46% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1217 | 47% | 2017-07-31 | Lost |
| 953 | 959 | 49% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2016-12-28 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-09-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1077.3 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).