Poteau Party
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (American): 29
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1074 | 62% | 2026-06-21 | Lost |
| 886 | 980 | 37% | 2025-12-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-12-06 | Tied |
| 1032 | 1017 | 52% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1071 | 41% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 962 | 988 | 46% | 2024-02-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1183 | 1135 | 57% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 1168 | 751 | 92% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 930 | 1041 | 35% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 885 | 1230 | 12% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1027 | 952 | 61% | 2015-10-04 | Lost |
| 960 | 1070 | 35% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1190 | 44% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1027.1 vs 1038 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).