Poteau Party
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 979 | 1057 | 39% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2024-02-29 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1202 | 34% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1223 | 32% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2015-10-04 | Lost |
| 958 | 1066 | 35% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1004 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1077.9 vs 1058.4 has a 52.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).