Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (28 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 69
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1043 | 69% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1176 | 927 | 81% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 993 | 53% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 918 | 1292 | 10% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 978 | 1028 | 43% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1087 | 57% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 1037 | 38% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1139 | 1091 | 57% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1051 | 58% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1153 | 858 | 85% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1139 | 1098 | 56% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1109 | 1051 | 58% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1124 | 21% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1050 | 71% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1210 | 929 | 83% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1333 | 1315 | 53% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1074 | 1333 | 18% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1133 | 38% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1416 | 1282 | 68% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1142 | 1013 | 68% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 1152 | 50% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1100.9 vs 1064 has a 55.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).