Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (28 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 69
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1224 | 45% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1168 | 998 | 73% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1055 | 993 | 59% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 914 | 1312 | 9% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 979 | 1059 | 39% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1039 | 1173 | 32% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1086 | 66% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 1209 | 27% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 975 | 1037 | 41% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1202 | 1090 | 66% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1151 | 858 | 84% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1109 | 22% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1099 | 65% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1264 | 929 | 87% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1313 | 1315 | 50% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1074 | 1313 | 20% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1146 | 43% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1029 | 54% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1413 | 1280 | 68% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1170 | 1004 | 72% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1150 | 1148 | 50% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1112.2 vs 1080.5 has a 54.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).