Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (21 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1121 | 48% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1213 | 841 | 89% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 891 | 1110 | 22% | 2023-11-04 | Tied |
| 917 | 1151 | 21% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 953 | 71% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1051 | 50% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 973 | 1118 | 30% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1081 | 1051 | 54% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1340 | 1058 | 84% | 2015-02-21 | Won |
| 1266 | 1167 | 64% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 973 | 1033 | 41% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1212 | 46% | 2015-01-01 | Won |
| 1340 | 1178 | 72% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2014-10-22 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1125 | 41% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 879 | 834 | 56% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1151 | 1152 | 50% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1110 | 31% | 2014-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1091.1 vs 1063.5 has a 53.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).