In Pursuit of the French
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (9 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 11
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1056 | 62% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
| 1033 | 1002 | 54% | 2021-10-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 969 | 55% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
| 1002 | 1016 | 48% | 2021-10-11 | Lost |
| 1025 | 996 | 54% | 2020-05-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 958 | 63% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1025 | 958 | 60% | 2019-01-05 | Won |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2015-09-16 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1216 | 48% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1018.1 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).