In Pursuit of the French
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (9 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 11
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1056 | 62% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
| 974 | 996 | 47% | 2021-10-28 | Won |
| 996 | 982 | 52% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
| 996 | 1016 | 47% | 2021-10-11 | Lost |
| 938 | 1048 | 35% | 2020-05-06 | Lost |
| 1040 | 999 | 56% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 938 | 999 | 41% | 2019-01-05 | Won |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2015-09-16 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1215 | 48% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1033.7 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).