Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (20 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 48
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2024-05-20 | Lost |
| 1047 | 996 | 57% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 976 | 60% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1086 | 44% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 908 | 919 | 48% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1071 | 52% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1084 | 981 | 64% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1105 | 76% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1150 | 1001 | 70% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1131 | 53% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1130 | 49% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1137 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 1011 | 916 | 63% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1046.8 has a 56.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).