Thai Hot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Japanese): 8
Defender wins (Thai): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 868 | 68% | 2025-01-31 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2024-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2024-02-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2024-02-07 | | Won |
| 944 | 1025 | 39% | 2020-07-25 | | Lost |
| 699 | 990 | 16% | 2020-05-02 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1134 | 34% | 2019-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2017-12-20 | | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2017-12-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2015-09-12 | | Won |
| 966 | 1020 | 42% | 2015-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1134 | 52% | 2015-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 906 | 68% | 2015-01-03 | | Lost |
| 906 | 1040 | 32% | 2014-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-09-21 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1089 | 24% | 2014-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2014-01-20 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 989.1 vs 996.5 has a 48.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).