Parting Shots
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (18 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 36
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1039 | 65% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1062 | 1033 | 54% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 982 | 1028 | 43% | 2023-01-02 | Lost |
| 1064 | 998 | 59% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1050 | 996 | 58% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2019-08-29 | Lost |
| 1060 | 960 | 64% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1143 | 947 | 76% | 2018-01-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 996 | 58% | 2016-05-20 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1110 | 52% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1060 | 65% | 2015-12-09 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2015-03-25 | Won |
| 1050 | 890 | 72% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 1152 | 33% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2014-06-16 | Won |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1088.3 vs 1028.8 has a 58.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).