Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (British): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-12-22 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-10-30 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2024-08-24 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1018 | 68% | 2024-01-22 | | Tied |
| 944 | 987 | 44% | 2020-10-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2020-09-25 | | Won |
| 1216 | 1000 | 78% | 2019-06-17 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1064 | 60% | 2019-04-04 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1127 | 37% | 2016-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1050 | 44% | 2016-08-20 | | Won |
| 1041 | 1149 | 35% | 2015-12-01 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-10-23 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-07-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2014-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1054 | 56% | 2014-05-30 | | Won |
| 1080 | 974 | 65% | 2014-05-23 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1081.1 vs 1031.3 has a 57.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).