Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 55
Defender wins (British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 984 | 64% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1051 | 1095 | 44% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1156 | 1030 | 67% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
| 995 | 1133 | 31% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
| 1144 | 1105 | 56% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
| 1209 | 1073 | 69% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1085 | 57% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
| 1215 | 947 | 82% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 947 | 82% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 949 | 1048 | 36% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 1100 | 46% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
| 835 | 998 | 28% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1075 | 53% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1090.6 vs 1045.5 has a 56.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).