Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (22 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-11-25 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1224 | 46% | 2021-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2021-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2019-03-23 | | Lost |
| 928 | 1074 | 30% | 2017-07-15 | | Lost |
| 850 | 965 | 34% | 2017-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1078 | 69% | 2015-02-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 966 | 58% | 2014-04-13 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2014-03-25 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1101 | 49% | 2014-02-22 | | Won |
| 973 | 1099 | 33% | 2014-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1127 | 49% | 2013-11-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2013-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2013-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-10-10 | | Won |
| 1118 | 1147 | 46% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1134 | 39% | 2013-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2013-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 960 | 66% | 2013-10-07 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1086 | 37% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1076.9 has a 45.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).