Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (21 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1154 | 1242 | 38% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 891 | 1143 | 19% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1050 | 40% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 857 | 1025 | 28% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1328 | 1025 | 85% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-12-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 983 | 66% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1022 | 950 | 60% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
| 1177 | 963 | 77% | 2014-03-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1099 | 34% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1121 | 49% | 2013-11-19 | Won |
| 1126 | 1125 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1124 | 1057 | 60% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1182 | 46% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1060 | 63% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1109 | 42% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 987 | 1119 | 32% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 957 | 60% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 990 | 1090 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1080.3 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).