Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (French): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1191 | 1223 | 45% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1191 | 999 | 75% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
999 | 1011 | 48% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
1006 | 1094 | 38% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
1084 | 1069 | 52% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
1047 | 1093 | 43% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
1150 | 999 | 70% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
1151 | 906 | 80% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
1214 | 1098 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1141 | 1106 | 55% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1127 vs 1069.5 has a 58.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).