Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1003 | 43% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1135 | 49% | 2021-08-15 | Lost |
| 1135 | 882 | 81% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1226 | 38% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1143 | 945 | 76% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 1027 | 984 | 56% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1006 | 1107 | 36% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
| 1044 | 1097 | 42% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1099 | 39% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 1230 | 945 | 84% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
| 1236 | 906 | 87% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1217 | 1101 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1127 | 58% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1121 vs 1051.9 has a 59.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).