Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (13 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1036 | 55% | 2025-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1132 | 51% | 2021-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1226 | 32% | 2017-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-05-06 | | Lost |
| 999 | 996 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1108 | 36% | 2016-10-23 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2015-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-04-26 | | Won |
| 1252 | 906 | 88% | 2013-10-11 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1101 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1215 | 1156 | 58% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1114.7 vs 1055.2 has a 58.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).