Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1132 | 50% | 2021-08-15 | Lost |
| 1132 | 882 | 81% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1226 | 38% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1112 | 54% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1006 | 1107 | 36% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
| 1044 | 1094 | 43% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1052 | 49% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 1112 | 56% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
| 1179 | 906 | 83% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 1216 | 1101 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1119 | 62% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1115.6 vs 1074.4 has a 55.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).