A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (27 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 29
Defender wins (Gurkha): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1076 | 39% | 2024-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1132 | 62% | 2024-06-22 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1132 | 62% | 2024-06-22 | | Won |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-04-11 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2022-11-06 | | Lost |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2022-10-22 | | Lost |
| 780 | 977 | 24% | 2022-08-24 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2022-08-13 | | Tied |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2022-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2021-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 944 | 63% | 2021-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2021-04-04 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2019-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2019-06-01 | | Won |
| 850 | 1133 | 16% | 2018-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2017-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-02-18 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1174 | 49% | 2015-09-06 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1219 | 31% | 2015-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 1258 | 27% | 2014-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2014-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1226 | 30% | 2014-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2014-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2014-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1065.3 has a 46.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).