A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (26 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 29
Defender wins (Gurkha): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1050 | 48% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1136 | 66% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1252 | 1136 | 66% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1023 | 953 | 60% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 780 | 1000 | 22% | 2022-08-24 | Lost |
| 879 | 1045 | 28% | 2022-08-13 | Tied |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1131 | 38% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1063 | 966 | 64% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1131 | 38% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 923 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1138 | 27% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1328 | 52% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1344 | 19% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 851 | 1113 | 18% | 2018-05-24 | Lost |
| 1045 | 879 | 72% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
| 853 | 887 | 45% | 2016-02-18 | Won |
| 1186 | 913 | 83% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
| 1045 | 1252 | 23% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1256 | 25% | 2014-09-29 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1226 | 30% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1092 | 55% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1018 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1076 has a 45.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).