A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (24 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 28
Defender wins (Gurkha): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1050 | 48% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1120 | 75% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1313 | 1120 | 75% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1025 | 953 | 60% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
| 941 | 1054 | 34% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 941 | 66% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 768 | 971 | 24% | 2022-08-24 | Lost |
| 877 | 1092 | 22% | 2022-08-13 | Tied |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 922 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1138 | 27% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 858 | 1151 | 16% | 2018-05-24 | Lost |
| 1092 | 877 | 78% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
| 853 | 998 | 30% | 2016-02-18 | Won |
| 1264 | 986 | 83% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1313 | 16% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1252 | 42% | 2014-09-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1223 | 31% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1079 | 56% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1069.2 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).