A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (24 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 28
Defender wins (Gurkha): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1050 | 48% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1135 | 76% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1333 | 1135 | 76% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1025 | 954 | 60% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 762 | 1035 | 17% | 2022-08-24 | Lost |
| 879 | 1051 | 27% | 2022-08-13 | Tied |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1109 | 42% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1109 | 42% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 923 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1138 | 27% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 858 | 1153 | 15% | 2018-05-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 879 | 73% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
| 854 | 927 | 40% | 2016-02-18 | Won |
| 1210 | 1013 | 76% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1333 | 15% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1263 | 41% | 2014-09-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1226 | 30% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1094 | 55% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1103 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1069.4 has a 46.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).