A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (24 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 28
Defender wins (Gurkha): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1050 | 48% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1135 | 75% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1329 | 1135 | 75% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1025 | 954 | 60% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 764 | 1044 | 17% | 2022-08-24 | Lost |
| 878 | 1005 | 32% | 2022-08-13 | Tied |
| 1002 | 1041 | 44% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1143 | 31% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 991 | 954 | 55% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1143 | 31% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 923 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1138 | 27% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 857 | 1127 | 17% | 2018-05-24 | Lost |
| 1005 | 878 | 68% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
| 854 | 964 | 35% | 2016-02-18 | Won |
| 1242 | 1005 | 80% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1329 | 15% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1275 | 38% | 2014-09-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1226 | 30% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1071.3 has a 44.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).