Operation Natzmer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2022-11-07 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2022-11-07 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2022-11-07 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2022-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2022-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2022-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-07-10 | | Won |
| 961 | 1000 | 44% | 2021-07-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2021-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2020-11-07 | | Won |
| 945 | 1431 | 6% | 2020-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-07-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2020-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-04-14 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2017-02-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2015-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2015-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2015-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-08-13 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2015-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2014-12-07 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2013-11-04 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2013-10-28 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1049.4 has a 52.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).