Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (10 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 910 | 66% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1039 | 950 | 63% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 991 | 1109 | 34% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1139 | 61% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1050 | 922 | 68% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1065 | 1114 | 43% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
| 978 | 755 | 78% | 2017-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 982.3 has a 59.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).