Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (10 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 954 | 60% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1055 | 956 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 939 | 1012 | 40% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 939 | 1012 | 40% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 984 | 1125 | 31% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1177 | 57% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 1116 | 48% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 755 | 79% | 2017-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.6 vs 1004.1 has a 54.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).