Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (10 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 910 | 66% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1039 | 950 | 63% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 972 | 1143 | 27% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1200 | 50% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1060 | 1112 | 43% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
| 978 | 722 | 81% | 2017-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 975.8 has a 60.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).