Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (6 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 1004 | 41% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1074 | 1047 | 54% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 1103 | 994 | 65% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1094 | 50% | 2018-04-13 | Won |
| 1086 | 1116 | 46% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1003 | 812 | 75% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 1011.2 has a 55.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).