The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (French): 6
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 868 | 80% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1226 | 25% | 2023-09-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1019 | 52% | 2022-11-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 1040 | 37% | 2020-07-17 | Lost |
| 992 | 1210 | 22% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1263 | 19% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1109 | 42% | 2015-03-03 | Won |
| 1147 | 1102 | 56% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1058 | 890 | 72% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
| 1226 | 967 | 82% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1126 | 1127 | 50% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 1051 | 970 | 61% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 983 | 1112 | 32% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 1050 | 57% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1055.1 has a 49.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).