A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Polish): 40
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 868 | 1088 | 22% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1174 | 23% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 1109 | 28% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 960 | 71% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 956 | 948 | 51% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 997 | 979 | 53% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 980 | 62% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
| 1150 | 1079 | 60% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 875 | 1107 | 21% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1022 | 80% | 2016-11-13 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1151 | 62% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 1077 | 1216 | 31% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1143 | 45% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1059 | 50% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
| 1042 | 890 | 71% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 939 | 1130 | 25% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 982 | 1130 | 30% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1063.9 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).