A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (17 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1133 | 27% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 955 | 1016 | 41% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1016 | 980 | 55% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 955 | 1055 | 36% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1036 | 979 | 58% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 967 | 56% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
| 1139 | 1128 | 52% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 933 | 1094 | 28% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 1072 | 1214 | 31% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1190 | 27% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1056 | 65% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
| 940 | 982 | 44% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 942 | 889 | 58% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.4 vs 1043.6 has a 48.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).