Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (19 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-10-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1294 | 16% | 2017-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2017-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-09-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-11-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-07-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-07-17 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2014-06-13 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1001 | 61% | 2014-06-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-02-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2014-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2014-01-26 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1018 | 60% | 2014-01-20 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2013-11-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1016.1 has a 51.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).