Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (17 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German (SS)): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1095 | 47% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2018-05-28 | Won |
| 1075 | 1009 | 59% | 2017-04-14 | Lost |
| 1220 | 890 | 87% | 2016-09-25 | Won |
| 943 | 1148 | 24% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1153 | 994 | 71% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1220 | 982 | 80% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2014-07-17 | Won |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1107 | 1040 | 60% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 1063 | 1085 | 47% | 2014-02-04 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1190 | 38% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1100 | 51% | 2014-01-20 | Tied |
| 1121 | 1013 | 65% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 958 | 1099 | 31% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1089.6 vs 1051.7 has a 55.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).