Severnaya Serenade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1043 | 44% | 2022-06-16 | | Won |
| 975 | 780 | 75% | 2021-11-12 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-07-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1221 | 22% | 2014-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2013-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2013-05-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1066.7 vs 1016.7 has a 57.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).