Severnaya Serenade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1083 | 49% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 938 | 788 | 70% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1169 | 1161 | 51% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1170 | 25% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2013-06-20 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1037 | 69% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 1047.3 has a 54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).