Dawn's Early Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (5 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (American): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1200 | 764 | 92% | 2024-05-27 | Won |
| 1176 | 1098 | 61% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 764 | 82% | 2021-09-15 | Won |
| 972 | 1032 | 41% | 2013-07-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2012-12-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1083.2 vs 952.8 has a 67.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).