By Fire and Flame
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1029 | 38% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 938 | 999 | 41% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 926 | 1151 | 21% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1310 | 35% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
| 812 | 1003 | 25% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-11-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1250 | 29% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 933 | 1069 | 31% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1002.8 vs 1114.8 has a 34.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).