The Gin Drinker's Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (25 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 43
Defender wins (British): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1003 | 955 | 57% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1129 | 1207 | 39% | 2023-01-22 | Won |
| 1016 | 881 | 69% | 2021-12-07 | Tied |
| 1129 | 1106 | 53% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1130 | 1117 | 52% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 994 | 59% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 952 | 767 | 74% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1180 | 42% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1072 | 864 | 77% | 2018-05-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 988 | 53% | 2018-02-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1100 | 1044 | 58% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1045 | 1067 | 47% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 1310 | 917 | 91% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 873 | 1260 | 10% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1190 | 27% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 1016 | 1190 | 27% | 2013-11-06 | Lost |
| 1179 | 965 | 77% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 952 | 1125 | 27% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2013-08-16 | Won |
| 1004 | 1056 | 43% | 2013-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1040.6 has a 52.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).