The Tsar's Infernal Machines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1225 | 40% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 989 | 891 | 64% | 2025-03-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1170 | 26% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 937 | 1217 | 17% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1066 | 46% | 2021-02-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 1049 | 52% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1042 | 76% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1023 | 74% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1077.5 vs 1074.8 has a 50.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).