The Tsar's Infernal Machines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 883 | 72% | 2025-03-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 1167 | 31% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 939 | 1220 | 17% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1066 | 58% | 2021-02-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1049 | 54% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1085 | 71% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1004 | 70% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1084.1 vs 1061.9 has a 53.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).