ASL Scenario Archive

Getting Your Bell Rung

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 20

Defender wins (German): 18

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1055	1059	49%	2024-06-25	Won
1011	914	64%	2023-12-10	Won
1099	893	77%	2023-03-19	Won
1132	1004	68%	2022-04-16	Won
1035	971	59%	2022-04-02	Won
943	848	63%	2022-03-29	Won
971	768	76%	2021-10-15	Won
979	1098	34%	2020-07-23	Lost
916	1073	29%	2020-05-16	Lost
916	991	39%	2020-05-15	Lost
1170	1170	50%	2020-03-20	Won
852	907	42%	2019-06-30	Lost
1107	918	75%	2018-05-05	Won
954	1193	20%	2017-11-11	Lost
1075	1143	40%	2017-05-20	Lost
998	845	71%	2016-06-13	Won
1170	924	80%	2016-03-13	Won
1153	1010	69%	2015-11-13	Lost
1148	1382	21%	2015-11-13	Lost
999	1066	40%	2015-11-06	Lost
1109	1153	44%	2015-10-09	Lost
1175	1153	53%	2015-06-16	Won
1189	1012	73%	2015-03-30	Won
1066	1059	51%	2013-11-09	Won
982	1100	34%	2013-07-18	Lost
1075	1100	46%	2013-07-15	Lost
1040	1106	41%	2013-07-12	Lost
967	1100	32%	2013-06-16	Won
1117	1413	15%	2013-06-16	Tied
1413	1113	85%	2013-06-13	Lost
822	998	27%	2013-05-19	Won
1264	1290	46%	2013-03-22	Won
1173	1313	31%	2013-02-24	Lost
932	1313	10%	2013-01-11	Won
1059	1031	54%	2012-11-15	Won
1099	1124	46%	2012-10-01	Lost
704	1148	7%	2012-08-06	Lost
1030	1079	43%		Lost
1079	1079	50%		Won

Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1050.7 vs 1073.4 has a 46.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).